Hi Reader, When my boss asked me to create a 5-year scenario plan in Excel, I used to open a blank workbook, stare at it, and tell myself, “This financial model should only take me an hour.” 6 hours later (often late in the evening), I was still wiring tabs and chasing circular refs. But now this can be done in 10 minutes with AI. Today I am going to show you my playbook to build a 5-year strategic plan with three scenarios in less than 10 minutes (+ a way to show it to your boss in a visual way to impress them). Before diving into today’s topic, I have an important update to share with you first… Tell The Right Story with Your DataJoin me next week for a free masterclass on using AI to clean data, sharpen analysis, and communicate clear financial stories that drive decisions (and show you how to use it for financial modeling). The link to register for free Here's what you will learn as well:
This event is perfect for CFOs and Finance Teams who want to save time and conduct better and more precise analysis of their numbers
This newsletter is sponsored by Jedox What “Financial modeling with AI” actually means and how to do itNow that GenerativeAI has the reasoning mode available, we can build, update, and explain finance models faster and with tighter controls. A reasoning model is a model which works task by task and think about the goal first, and then will iterate on all the tasks needed before giving you the answer. The AI would be like an assistant that would draft structure, link formulas, run scenarios, check reconciliations, and generate narrative. How to use it?Imagine your boss comes to you and wants to have a comparison of 3 different scenarios over the next 3 years:
Below is how I prompted AI: Give the baseline
Be super precise on the assumptions you want for each scenario: Here you can see that I am stating the increase I want and the frequency:
Other tips from my experience after running dozens of models with AI:Provide minimum specifics per scenario: at least set revenue growth, margin behavior, and cost growth/one-offs. If you leave these undefined, the AI will make its own assumptions, and the result may be different from what you want. Supply a baseline P&L template. Give the AI your P&L structure as the base so it keeps the same line-item layout across all scenarios. This forces structural consistency and makes comparisons and roll-ups straightforward. Ask for formulas, not just values. Specify that outputs must include the underlying Excel/Sheets formulas and that every scenario references the Assumptions sheet drivers. This ensures the model remains fully dynamic and auditable. Here you see the prompt and the result: Here's the prompt I used: I am a CFO of a manufacturing company.
I need to prepare a 5 year strategic plan with 3 scenarios. 1-Base (sales increase by 3% per year, margin constant, cost increase by 2%)
2-Add a gradual expansion to the US
3-Pessimistic: ~2% in sales volume year after year, margin % decrease by 1% year after year and other cost decrease only 1% year after year
Make this financial model with formulas and make sure I can change the variable with an assumption sheet.
Here is an attached P&L for 2025."
The link to the file used in the example Below is a screenshot of a sample Excel sheet output from ChatGPT. It shows an Assumptions tab that drives a three-scenario P&L model with tabs for Assumption, Proj_Base, Proj_US_Expansion, Proj_Pessimistic, plus a Readme. Overall, the structure is clean with a single source of truth for drivers, clearly separated scenarios, and consistent P&L outputs - ideal for CFOs who want fast scenario switches without rewriting formulas Really impressive, right? Yours may not be identical, as generative AI is non-deterministic, so two runs of the same prompt can vary. To increase consistency, you can be more specific and structured with your prompt. You can specify more sections, headers, formulas, and formatting that you expect. Clear and concrete instructions lead to more repeatable results. Bonus: how to visualize your financial model (to impress your boss?Now, how to visualize your financial model? In order to do this in ChatGPT, enable a hidden function which only a few people know: Canvas. Canvas is a side-by-side workspace where you and the model co-create charts, tables, and slides in one place. No need for context-switching between chat and docs. How to use ChatGPT Canvas?
Good finance visuals to request
Look at the GIF (until the end): Activate Canvas and use the prompt I used in the example: "Now, build a dynamic slide deck in HTML to present the different scenarios based on the model you have built.
I want to be able to change some assumptions in the slide deck and also have graph to compare the three scenarios (revenue, margin, ebit)."
The quality checks you need to always do:I start by checking the labels: every chart shows units and rounding, and totals tie back to the source table. Then I look at the axes. They begin at logical baselines, so nothing is exaggerated. I add clear threshold callouts - for example, “GM% below 22%.” I include a simple footnote with the data source and the period it covers. Finally, I iterate: rerun the prompt, check clarity and accuracy, and lock the constraints (units, rounding, axis min/max, threshold labels) until the visual reads clean and reliable. This is how you impress your boss! Why this mattersI keep repeating this in my AI CFO sessions: scenario modeling + automation is becoming table stakes for finance leaders. Imagine the hours saved by applying this simple technique If you can build, switch, visualize, and narrate scenarios in minutes, you are already many steps ahead of your peers, and you become invaluable to your boss. Best, P.S. My latest video tutorial on building financial models is out and has already been watched by more than 5,000 finance pros just like you. Transparency note: |
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